US Election & Presidency

Biden still behind in Wisconsin.
Not many more votes left to count.
If he loses there it could be game over.


EDIT:
Now hearing Biden has surged into a Wisconsin lead.

Crikey this is tense

Biden now leading in winsconsin

(03-11-2020 21:21 )Rammyrascal Wrote:  I’m still thinking Biden will win, but it will be closer than people think

Given the statements from Trump & Biden, I’m sticking with this. Trump wouldn’t have kicked off like he did if he was going to win

I have a bad feeling about this. Trump already saying Democrats are trying to steal the election. Remember Trump has stacked The Supreme Court.

Joe Biden is now winning 50.0% of the nationwide vote.
If he loses the electoral college, he will be the first Presidential candidate since 1876 to win a majority of the popular vote and not be elected President.

(04-11-2020 10:30 )snookered Wrote:  Biden still behind in Wisconsin.
Not many more votes left to count.
If he loses there it could be game over.


EDIT:
Now hearing Biden has surged into a Wisconsin lead.

Crikey this is tense

Leading in Nevada and Wisconsin so if he takes them both I think he only needs 1 of Michigan or Pennsylvania to win the electoral college.

(04-11-2020 10:59 )Cooper_temple Wrote:  Joe Biden is now winning 50.0% of the nationwide vote.
If he loses the electoral college, he will be the first Presidential candidate since 1876 to win a majority of the popular vote and not be elected President.

No, Hilary Clinton did that 4yrs ago. She won the popular vote but didn’t get enough electoral college votes

(04-11-2020 11:16 )Rammyrascal Wrote:  

(04-11-2020 10:59 )Cooper_temple Wrote:  Joe Biden is now winning 50.0% of the nationwide vote.
If he loses the electoral college, he will be the first Presidential candidate since 1876 to win a majority of the popular vote and not be elected President.

No, Hilary Clinton did that 4yrs ago. She won the popular vote but didn’t get enough electoral college votes

Hillary Clinton did not win a majority of the popular vote, she won a plurality.

Wisconsin looking like it could be a <1% race, which could trigger a recount, whoever is leading.

Michigan edging into the "lean Biden" column.

It definitely isn't over.

And it's worth reflecting that in those pre-election predictions that gave Biden a 90% chance of winning, only about 30% predicted a thumping Biden win or landslide. About 60% were various permutations of the ordeal we are currently going through.

Worth remembering that before we start with the whole narrative that "the polls were all wrong". There was a pretty big miss in Florida, but everywhere else seems to be within a normal 2-3 point margin of error.

Michigan now showing trump just 0.2% ahead, little more than 10000 votes, 90% reported. Looks like Biden might sneak it, hopefully Pennsylvania shows the same spike for biden when counting restarts.

Edit: Biden just slightly increased his lead in Wisconsin, now 0.7% ahead, just over 20000 votes at 95% reporting.